Text 6829, 89 rader
Skriven 2005-08-28 22:25:02 av Mike '/m' (1:379/45)
Ärende: Katrina
===============
From: Mike '/m' <mike@barkto.com>


Urgent Weather Message from NWS New Orleans

WWUS74 KLIX 281550NPWLIXURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW
ORLEANS LA

1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005


DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED

HURRICANE KATRINA A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969. MOST OF THE
AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF
WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL
FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.THE MAJORITY OF
INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND
ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL
BE DESTROYED.

CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE. HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY
DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS
HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT
TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED.

THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND
LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK. POWER OUTAGES
WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS
DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN
STANDARDS.

THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE
HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL
REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO
NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE


!LAZ038-040-050-056>070-282100-ASSUMPTION-LIVINGSTON-LOWER
JEFFERSON-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-LOWER
TERREBONNE-ORLEANS-ST. CHARLES-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-ST.
TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST.
BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-1011 AM




http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=LIX&StateCode=LA&Saf
eCityName=New_Orleans
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service New Orleans la 452 PM CDT sun Aug 28 2005


Update...to add Tornado Watch #752.


Discussion...
southeast Louisiana seems poised for a date with destiny as category 5
Hurricane Katrina continues to keep a bead on Barataria Bay and the greater New
Orleans area. The GFS model continues to be Superior in its handling of the
system inasmuch as to base the conventional forecast parameters with good
integrity and in agreement with NHC advisories.


Needless to say...the worst can be anticipated and urgency is being stressed in
all products as a worst case hurricane scenario for this very fragile and
vulnerable stretch of U.S. Coastline. The eye is emerging on the klix long
range loop and bands are extending to Lake Pontchartrain at this time. Things
will be detiorating steadily from this point forward for the next 24 hours.


Will maintain all warnings as already posted as well as the Flash Flood Watch.
Storm Prediction Center has advised that the first Tornado Watch of the event
will likely be issued for the region early this evening...probably right after
sunset.


Most attention with this package was day 1-2 with little if any changes made
beyond day 3. Good Luck and godspeed to all in the path of this storm.

--- BBBS/NT v4.01 Flag-5
 * Origin: Barktopia BBS Site http://HarborWebs.com:8081 (1:379/45)