Text 21437, 60 rader
Skriven 2006-07-30 04:15:00 av Jeff Binkley (1:226/600)
     Kommentar till en text av John Hull
Ärende: MORE HURRICANES
=======================
JH> JB> ``They ignore the most significant finding from my Nature paper
JH> JB> _ that Atlantic hurricane activity is highly correlated with sea
JH> JB> surface temperature, which is comparatively well-measured,''
JH> JB> Emanuel said by e- mail from the Queen Mary 2, where he is
JH> JB> lecturing on storms. ``This cannot be explained away by invoking
JH> JB> rather qualitative arguments about data quality.''

JH> JB> Emanuel analyzed records of storm measurements made by aircraft
JH> JB> and satellites since the 1950s. He found the amount of energy
JH> JB> released in these storms in both the North Atlantic and the
JH> JB> North Pacific oceans increased, especially since the mid-1970s.

JH> JB> His study was published last year, along with another Science
JH> JB> piece that linked a double in Category 4 and 5 hurricanes since
JH> JB> 1970 to the rise of ocean surface temperatures.

JH> JB> Landsea said he did not dispute global warming was occurring or
JH> JB> that it could influence hurricanes; he said it simply was not
JH> JB> proven by the storm information available.

JH> JB> The studies did not address fluctuation in the number of
JH> JB> hurricanes, only in their intensity. But researchers agree that
JH> JB> the Atlantic basin is in a period of higher hurricane activity
JH> JB> that could last decades.

JH>I find it really laughable that otherwise serious scientific types
JH>are running around like Chicken Little screaming the sky is falling
JH>over all this global warming stuff.  Even with NASA satellites and
JH>huge computer models we are working with data that barely scratches
JH>the surface with regard to temperature, storm trends, etc.

JH>We've only been keeping accurate records for a couple hundred years
JH>at best, and as these articles show, we haven't even done a very good
JH>job of that.  Geologic cycles that affect the weather take thousands
JH>of years, maybe millions.  The little snapshot of data we have
JH>accumulated covers about a second and half of one of those cycles.

JH>I remember back in the early 70's all the climatologists panicked
JH>because of what they believed was a sudden spike in temperatures
JH>around human population centers.  They ran around for several years
JH>predicting the end of life on Earth and all that.  When cooler heads
JH>finally prevailed and reevaluated the data, they discovered that it
JH>was because most of the sensors they used to gather data were around
JH>those zones and they were reading a localized heat spike because of
JH>the heat reflected from concrete and asphalt in the big cities.  The
JH>actual temperature overall had actually gone done a hair when the
JH>entire countryside was factored in.

JH>We simply don't have enough knowledge to either understand the
JH>intricacies of the process, or make accurate assumptions based on
JH>what we do know.

Yep, the 7-'s was the period of doom due to global cooling.  Liberals 
biggest problem is their egos.  It won't allow them to be wrong.


Jeff 

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