Text 9368, 143 rader
Skriven 2005-02-27 17:34:00 av Jeff Binkley (1:226/600)
Ärende: Fact and Comment
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http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2005/0314/025.html
Fact and Comment Steve Forbes, 03.14.05, 12:00 AM ET
Easily Financed
Critics of President Bush's plan for reforming Social Security--the
President would allow working people, if they so choose, to put up to 4
of the 12.4 percentage points of their gross wages that are withheld as
the Social Security payroll tax into their own personal retirement
accounts--claim that we can't afford the $2 tril-lion or so of needed
borrowing in coming years to finance the transition. They're wrong. We
could easily finance such a transition.
During World War II, after all, we borrowed in less than four years what
would today be the equivalent of $10 trillion, and we did so at interest
rates of less than 3%.
The U.S. has $80 trillion in assets. Factor out our debts and the nation
as a whole still has a net worth in excess of $50 trillion, which could
double over the next decade. Those numbers don't even take into account
all the portfolio assets that are held in other countries. Under the
circumstances, borrowing an extra $100 billion to $200 billion a year
is, in the vernacular, no sweat.
The markets would quite easily, quite willingly buy bonds that would
transform our unsteady, increasingly troubled pay-as-you-go system into
one that would become a generator of capital of historic proportions,
capital that would give us a far more muscular economy in the years
ahead.
If anything, the Administration should be criticized for taking such a
cramped view of Social Security reform: Workers should be allowed to put
6 to 8 percentage points or more into private accounts. The cap of
$1,000 a year (and rising $100 a year thereafter) on those contributions
is ridiculously small.
The White House should have learned an invaluable lesson from its fight
two years ago to eliminate personal taxes on dividends. The Democrats
bitterly opposed the idea. At the end of the day the President didn't
achieve an elimination of the tax, but he did cut the rate by nearly two-
thirds. Had President Bush not asked for the entire loaf, he certainly
wouldn't have ended up with more than 60% of it.
Free Markets = Better, Less Costly Care
Rapidly rising costs for Medicaid and Medicare are threatening to
overwhelm both state and federal budgets. Already state spending on
Medicaid exceeds state outlays for elementary and secondary education
combined. Annual government health care outlays routinely grow at double-
digit rates.
In January Governor Jeb Bush of Florida proposed a free-market way out.
His bottom line: Give Medicaid beneficiaries--after proper counseling--
the wherewithal to buy health insurance plans that best meet their
particular needs. Companies would then compete to win family and
individual customers.
Florida already spends nearly $7,000 a year per Medicaid beneficiary.
Delivery systems today are highly inefficient. There are no incentives
for patients to get the best value for their Medicaid dollars nor for
providers to provide more effective care at less cost.
Competition would help cut costs while generating better service.
Medicaid recipients would have a choice of private plans offering basic
care, catastrophic coverage and the possibility of state-funded flexible
spending accounts, which recipients could use to pay for medical
services not covered under their basic plans or to purchase enhanced
insurance coverage. One particular innovation in Governor Bush's plan
would give Floridians the chance to earn enhanced benefits through
flexible spending accounts if they engaged in healthy practices and
responsible lifestyle choices, such as giving up smoking.
As the governor said, "Our proposals put the focus back on the patient
by allowing competition in the market to drive access and quality of
care up from current levels in the Medicaid system."
The Florida plan is based on the same principle as Health Savings
Accounts. Congress enacted HSAs a little more than a year ago, and over
the next few years they will become a common feature of company health
care plans. HSAs are funded by employers and employees with tax-free
dollars. The money grows tax- free and can then be spent tax-free on
medical care. An HSA/Florida-type approach should also be crafted for
Medicare.
This Bad Bargain Must Go Up in Smoke
Recently a Federal Appeals Court finally brought some sanity to the
issue of the government's being able to sue tobacco companies for
allegedly burying the truth about cigarettes being harmful. Forgotten in
all of this, of course, is the fact that cigarette packs have carried
health-warning labels on them for 40 years. The judges ruled that the
federal government cannot force the tobacco companies to hand over $280
billion of profits they earned while allegedly misleading us about their
products' impact on people's health. The suit was born of Washington's
jealousy over the $206 billion settlement 46 states had wrung out of the
big tobacco companies several years ago. Uncle Sam wanted some tobacco
loot, too.
While the courts are at it, they should take a similar knife to the
original settlement in the case of the states versus the tobacco
companies. It is unconstitutional; it makes a travesty of the
government's needing to win legislative approval before being able to
exact a tax.
That settlement is one of the most monopolistic, anti-property-rights,
anticompetitive acts of modern times. Most state legislatures--not to
mention the U.S. Congress--were not willing to raise cigarette taxes
substantially and directly. But they wanted big money from the tobacco
industry, so they cooked up an extraconstitutional scheme to get it. To
settle various state lawsuits, the big tobacco companies agreed to cough
up $206 billion over 25 years. To get the dough, the tobacco companies
raised cigarette prices substantially. Thus, the taxes that legislators
were afraid to levy directly were exacted in the form of more expensive
smokes. In return, the states, in effect, were protecting the big
tobacco companies from competition.
It's no surprise that the major tobacco companies, thus protected,
raised prices not only to service the settlement but also to fatten
their bottom lines. The deal prevented would-be cutthroat competitors
from stealing market share by selling cheap cigarettes.
Now this cozy arrangement may come unstuck. A New York State court
decision in early 2004 allowed a plaintiff to pursue an antitrust
lawsuit against the settlement (see FORBES, Feb. 28). The original
settlement inadvertently contained a loophole; it allowed cigarette
discounters to get refunds of the special fee per pack of cigarettes
that goes toward financing the settlement from states in which they
don't sell their wares. States have been passing laws to close this
loophole, but in October a federal court said no can do. After all, why
should a company that didn't even exist at the time of the settlement be
forced to pony up money for bad behavior in which it had played no part?
The whole deal is like tax collecting in olden times. Governments would
put the job of collecting taxes up for bid. Whoever won the contract
could collect whatever they could from the peasants, as long as the so-
called tax farmers remitted a certain share of it to the crown. That
tobacco settlement smacks of tax farming: Companies collect the money
and remit it to the states.
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